Isaac Asimov was a science fiction writer and fifty years
ago in the New York Times he predicted what 2014 would look like. At the time
he was living with inventions like eight-track tapes as being cutting edge and
with no sign of personal computers and the like, so that helps us understand
how far seeing he was. How did he do?
3.
Self-driving cars.
1.
Coloured glass that can change colour to suit
the mood and rooms that can change colour at the touch of a button.
-
Correct. Not common in homes yet, but the
technology exists. Last year Mercedes introduced sun panels that darken in response
to the extent of sunlight, already common with sunglasses of course.
2.
Lab grown meat to cope with the food crisis.
-
Correct. Lab grown burgers were produced for the
first time last year.
3.
Self-driving cars.
-
Correct. On the way to being reality. Current
cars already have the technology to park, break if too close to other vehicles
and drive at constant speeds. Automatically driven cars exist and are being
developed.
4.
Sight and sound communications. You will see as
well as hear the person you are calling.
-
Correct. Skype.
5.
Documents, photographs and books will be on
screens. And people will be able to watch screens in 3D.
-
Correct. Ipads, kindles and tablets. And 3D
cinema.
6.
Robots acting like humans will not be common,
but they will exist.
-
Spot on. They are expensive but have been
invented.
7.
Automeals and automatic coffee will be possible.
-
Correct. The microwave and coffee machines.
8.
Machine tending will be on the school syllabus.
-
Call it computer studies and he’s correct. He thought
computer languages would be taught as well, but we’re not there yet.
9.
Large scale Solar Power Stations
-
On the way. Solar power in the home is more and
more common.
10.
Unmanned Mars landings and planned human
landings.
-
Spot on.
11.
Large underground and underwater housing
projects.
-
Oops. Not yet anyway.
12.
Enforced leisure with less jobs and robots and
computers doing more.
-
Not yet but the signs are there.
Bear in mind the world as it was in 1964- the first lung
transplant was recorded, the Rolling Stones were on their first tour and the
Ford Zephyr and Morris Oxford were the cars of choice. Pretty accurate
predictions bearing in mind the world he lived in.
Anyone want to have a go at the world in 2064?!
3 comments:
Was always impressed by his Foundation series looking way into the future. in that light predicting just 50 years ahead was very impressive!
Point 8 - schools are now looking at teaching children (even in primary schools) to write their own programmes, rather than just use them. (All teachers know that the kids are far quicker at picking up new technology than adults:-) ). So I guess that computer languages will be taught in the near future, too.
Well, well. Even more accurate! Richard, a friend, tells me that we DO have underwater residences as well- the first of which is an underwater hotel near Hawaii.
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